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Angsana Anderson's avatar

The SEA Analyst, thanks for your analysis of HL Global Enterprises Limited (AVX; HLGE SP).

Without a path to growth or capital returns, minority shareholders may wait forever for the discount to close.

This reminded me of Haw Par, which both of us analysed too.

I first invested in Haw Par Corporation Limited (H02; HPAR SP) in Feb 2021. I was attracted to its inorganic growth potential, which I believed the market had not fully recognized.

Through reading management interviews and analysing its hiring activity, I believed Haw Par was about to make a major acquisition. This could increase its profits by almost 50%.

I also believed the market had not fully recognized the ‘hidden’ assets within H02. Its accounting policies have artificially depressed its return on asset (ROA), making it look like a low-return business.

More than 5 years later, I sold all my shares.

H02 still has not made any significant acquisitions. There is no convincing evidence it will do so any time soon.

The hidden assets I saw in H02 remain hidden. I now believe these hidden assets will unlikely ever be unlocked and returned to shareholders.

Furthermore, I believe the outlook for Tiger Balm is bleaker than the market expects.

I discuss the details here: https://angsanaanderson.substack.com/p/haw-par-right-for-the-wrong-reasons?r=5rl2u5

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