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The Unminuted's avatar

Most small-cap rallies overshoot the underlying business and the board's job in the moment is to do nothing without looking like they are doing nothing. Holding-company arithmetic catches up eventually. The question is whether the chair has the patience to let the multiple compress on its own schedule rather than chasing the narrative.

Angsana Anderson's avatar

The SEA Analyst, thanks for highlighting Sunright. Interesting company and structure.

Sunright is new to me. At first glance, the cyclical risk is significant.

Sunright's profits and share price peaked around 2018 and 2021. This coincided with the peaks in semiconductor shortages.

Right now, earnings seem sustainable at least until the end of calendar 2026.

But there is a risk that the shortage ends and earnings collapse around calendar Q1'27.

I discuss why in detail here: https://angsanaanderson.substack.com/p/where-are-we-in-the-semiconductor?r=5rl2u5

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